Cycles of Change

Knowledge - Spirit - Culture - Growth

Provisional Truth: The Scalar Model of Fit

- Posted in Mind by

Modern discourse often treats truth as a binary choice. We observe claims being classified as either strictly true or entirely false. This rigid framework generates a structural failure when we analyze complex systems or deep ontological questions. When truth remains restricted to an absolute binary switch, any missing data causes the model to appear worthless. We propose a framework based on Provisional Truth. Under this model, we recognize truth as the Degree of Fit between a claim and the observable world (Korzybski, 1933).

The Requisite Variety of Knowledge

We recognize that human knowledge remains inherently incomplete. A model functions successfully even while falling short of perfection. This approach aligns with the scientific method, where the system retains ideas only as long as they explain evidence better than competing hypotheses. Recognizing the limits of knowledge survives as an engineering requirement for the sovereign individual. We acknowledge inherent fallibility while maintaining steady progress. Adopting the scalar model moves the focus from zero-sum argument toward the active refinement of the model.

The Functional Utility of Faith

We identify the mechanics of faith as a clear application for this scalar model. Traditionally, institutional discourse debates belief in a personal God as a binary variable. Using the Provisional Truth framework, we move the investigation toward verifiable results. We recognize that demanding absolute proof of something beyond the material world provides less utility than observing how a worldview fits with systemic reality. Clear data exists regarding how this belief affects individual stability. We observe that steady faith correlates with increased hope and a higher capacity for stress management (James, 1902).

The Telemetry of Experience

Testing high-variety ideas requires an analysis of their specific components. We adopt the Engineer's Stance to analyze claims individually. We identify the "cash value" of a belief system by observing its practical consequences within the feedback loops of experience. This process includes observing the cliodynamic patterns of narratives across cultures. These patterns serve as high-integrity telemetry. They provide structural weight to an idea even when binary proof remains unavailable. Gathering this evidence increases confidence without requiring absolute certainty.

The Mechanics of Homeostasis

We recognize a clear distinction between what is "proven" and what functions. A belief system sustains a community while bypassing the requirement for absolute material proof. High-integrity social groups use shared frameworks to encourage coordination and trust. These social results provide objective data. If a community following a specific model achieves higher stability, that model demonstrates a high Degree of Fit with social reality. We observe this as a functional confirmation that the model helps the system achieve homeostasis.

The Scalar Trajectory

The standard binary model forces a choice between total certainty and total rejection. This results in the paralysis of the investigator. Measured models free the system from this trap. We treat faith and rejection as competing hypotheses to be tested against new data. We test an idea by observing how it shapes daily choices and emotional stability. This allows for a living investigation where the individual updates beliefs based on resonance. We choose the signal over the static fortress.

The Map and the Territory

Admitting the limits of knowledge enables the identification of meaning. We regularly traverse using maps that lack perfection. Alfred Korzybski famously stated that the map represents something other than the territory. A map search provides value based on how accurately it guides the traveler to the destination. If the map guides us to the goal, it remains true enough for the journey. Similarly, if a set of beliefs helps an individual handle the friction of existence, it demonstrates a functional reality. The scalar model of truth prioritizes this fit.

The Signal of Agreement

This shift changes how we handle disagreement. When truth exists on a scale, different ideas capture different frequencies of a single reality. One perspective might address emotional requirements while another identifies physical facts. Our goal involves finding the model that provides the highest Requisite Variety for the current environment. This requires constant testing and a willingness to discard the noise. We transform faith from a fixed, defensive state into a living search for the structural integrity of the world.

Glossary

  • Provisional Truth: A tentative model of reality accepted based on current evidence but remaining open to revision.
  • Degree of Fit: The measure of how accurately an internal model or belief corresponds to the results of external experience.
  • Binary Logic: The low-resolution classification of information into rigid, mutually exclusive categories of true and false.
  • Scalar Model: A framework evaluating truth on a continuous spectrum of utility and correspondence essentially replacing the binary switch.
  • Requisite Variety: The cybernetic principle that a controller must have at least as many states as the system it intends to control.
  • Moral Physics: The mechanical reality where moral choices produce predictable and objective consequences in society.

Assumptions and Assertions

  • [Assumption] Human models of reality are abstractions and not identical to the reality they represent (Korzybski, 1933).
  • [Assertion] The validity of a belief is determined by its practical "cash value" and experimental consequences (James, 1902).
  • [Assertion] Functional utility in a social system serves as a high-fidelity signal of a model's Degree of Fit (DiBella, 2026).
  • [Assertion] Systematic uncertainty exists as a more resilient state than false binary certainty.

Reference Citations

  • DiBella, Charles. Moral Physics (2026). Initial project link.
  • James, W. The Varieties of Religious Experience (1902). Primary study of the utility of belief.
  • Korzybski, A. Science and Sanity (1933). Foundation for non-aristotelian systems and general semantics.

Technical precision enables the transition from signal to institutional asset.

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